The debut outing in the top flight for Moscow Rodina turned sour with a 0-3 thrashing on the road against Spartak but the lads must park that disappointment fast and turn their attention to the first home game where Rostov roll into town. The visitors themselves opened their campaign with a 1-2 loss to Orenburg after letting two goals slip in right at the death despite playing with an extra man for most of the contest which points to shaky discipline that could cost them again.
Team Form
- Rodina kept their entire squad from a strong spring in the second tier where they scored freely and often
- Rostov managed just 0.69 expected goals last time out and have posted eight games in ten where their attack managed zero or one goal
- Both sides need points quickly with Rodina aiming for their first top-flight goal at home
Jonathan Alba will be counting on the home crowd to lift the team and give the forwards the confidence to finally find the net after a blank debut. Rostov on the other hand look toothless up front and have struggled to string together any real winning run lately.
Tactical Analysis
- Rodina can lean on their set-piece threat and quick transitions that worked well lower down
- Rostov show poor finishing and lack creativity once they fall behind or face a packed defence
- Home advantage should allow Rodina more time on the ball and fewer mistakes under pressure
If Rostov again fail to create clear chances the hosts stand a real chance of nicking at least a point and maybe even their first win. The match could hinge on whether Rodina settle early or let nerves get the better of them in the opening exchanges.
Betting Proposal
With Rostov looking blunt in attack and Rodina desperate for a result in front of their fans the smart play is to back the hosts not to lose. Rodina win or draw at odds of 1.62 offers good value and fits the game picture nicely.
