Life has a way of writing the most dramatic scripts in football and this Nations League clash at Renato Dall Ara could mark the end of Vincenzo Montella time with Turkey. The Italian coach faces a tough situation after his side crashed out of the World Cup and now sits at the bottom of their Nations League group with three straight defeats. Turkish fans are feeling the pain of poor results and the team has managed just one goal while leaking eight in those games.
Team Form
- Turkey have lost all three autumn fixtures and their defence looks shaky with eight goals conceded
- Italy started with a home loss to Belgium but bounced back with a 4 1 win over Turkey and a solid 1 1 draw away to France
- Key performers like Baris Alper Yilmaz have not been enough to stop the slide for the visitors
- Italy under Roberto Mancini are showing signs of improvement with better motivation and organisation
Tactical Analysis
Turkey struggle across the pitch right now with limited creativity and a backline that concedes too easily. Their only goal in 270 minutes came from Yilmaz but the rest of the attack has been quiet. Italy on the other hand have found their rhythm after the Belgium setback and look sharp on the counter with Mancini making smart adjustments. The Azzurri should control the tempo at home and create plenty of chances against a tired Turkish side.
The home advantage at Dall Ara plus recent head to head results make Italy the clear favourites. They already won convincingly away and can repeat a strong performance in front of their fans. Expect Mancini men to press high and exploit spaces left by Turkey defensive lapses.
Betting Proposal
Italy are in good shape and should get the job done with room to spare against a struggling opponent. Italy to win by one goal or more at odds of 1.72 looks the value pick while the double chance on Italy minus 1.5 at 2.15 offers even more reward for those willing to take a bit more risk.
