Prediction for the match “Real Madrid” vs “Alaves” on 21.04.2026. Alvaro Arbeloa’s team will break the streak of poor results.

Hey folks, it’s time to dive into the upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Alaves in the Spanish La Liga, and trust me, there’s plenty to talk about. After the international break, Real Madrid has been struggling to find their rhythm, and it’s been a rough ride for the Blancos. They’ve gone four games across all competitions without a single win, a stat that’s got fans and pundits alike scratching their heads. In the Champions League quarter-finals, they were knocked out by Bayern Munich after losing both legs, and in La Liga, they couldn’t get past Mallorca (1-2) or Girona (1-1) in April. With Barcelona now nine points ahead, even with a head-to-head clash coming up soon, it’s hard to see Real Madrid mounting a serious challenge for the title. Club president Florentino Perez was reportedly fuming after the Munich defeat, and word is he made a trip to the dressing room to fire up the boys. Will that spark a reaction against Alaves at the Santiago Bernabeu? We’ll have to wait and see, but one thing is clear—something’s gotta give for this giant of a club.

Team Form

Let’s break down the current form of both sides. Real Madrid, for all their talent, are in a proper rut. Two seasons in a row without a major trophy is just not acceptable for a club of their stature, and the pressure is mounting on the players and coaching staff. Their recent La Liga results have been disappointing, and the gap to Barcelona feels like a mountain to climb. But there’s still a flicker of hope in the league, and they’ve got to fight tooth and nail for every point. Playing at home could be the boost they need, especially with the fans behind them, hungry for a performance that shows some fight and pride.

On the flip side, Alaves have shown some grit since their managerial change. They’ve gone unbeaten in their last four matches, picking up three draws and a thrilling 4-3 win over Celta Vigo. However, they’re still just one point above the relegation zone, so every game is a battle for survival for the Basque side. They’ve been finding the back of the net consistently, which is a plus, but facing a wounded Real Madrid at the Bernabeu is a whole different ball game. Here’s a quick look at some key stats and points for both teams:

  • Real Madrid: 0 wins in last 4 matches across all competitions.
  • Real Madrid: Conceded in every game during this poor run.
  • Alaves: Unbeaten in 4 matches (3 draws, 1 win).
  • Alaves: Scored in each of their last 4 outings.

Tactical Analysis

Looking at how both teams might set up, Real Madrid will likely come out with intent to dominate possession and attack from the get-go. Their recent failures should serve as a wake-up call, and I expect them to press high and exploit the flanks, especially with players like Vinicius Jr. who can turn defenders inside out on their day. However, their defense has been shaky, and Alaves will be looking to capitalize on any mistakes at the back. If Real can tighten up and play with the urgency they’ve been lacking, they should have the upper hand in this one.

Alaves, meanwhile, will probably focus on staying compact and hitting on the counter. Their recent knack for scoring goals means they’re not just going to park the bus, but they’ll need to be clinical because chances against Real Madrid don’t come easy. Their weaknesses lie in defensive organization at times, and against a side with Real’s firepower, that could be their undoing. Let’s list out some strengths and weaknesses to watch for:

  • Real Madrid Strengths: Home advantage, attacking talent, motivated to bounce back.
  • Real Madrid Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, lack of confidence from recent results.
  • Alaves Strengths: Recent scoring form, improved resilience under new coach.
  • Alaves Weaknesses: Vulnerable at the back, limited squad depth.

Betting Proposal

Now, let’s talk about where to put your money for this match. Real Madrid are the clear favorites, especially playing at home, and their need to respond to recent disappointments should drive them to a convincing performance. While Alaves have been stubborn lately, I don’t see them holding out against a Real side desperate to give their fans something to cheer about. The chase for Barcelona in the La Liga table is still alive, even if it’s a long shot, and a big win here could be the spark they need to keep the hope burning.

My betting tip for this game is to back Real Madrid with a handicap of -1.5, meaning they need to win by at least two goals. The odds for this are sitting at a decent 1.75, and I reckon it’s a solid pick. Real Madrid have the quality to overpower Alaves if they show up with the right mentality, and playing in front of their home crowd should give them that extra push. So, if you’re looking to place a wager, this could be the way to go. Let’s see if the Blancos can finally turn things around and get back to winning ways in style.

author avatar
Bolanle Adelakun
have spent over seven years immersed in sports analytics, content writing, and editorial work, focusing on the connection between sports performance and betting insight. My journey began with writing data-driven football analyses and has grown into producing detailed sportsbook reviews, betting guides, and odds comparisons for international readers.

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