The opening group game for Spain at the World Cup turned out tougher than most fans expected, as they could not break down a stubborn Cape Verde side and had to settle for a goalless draw despite throwing everything forward in the second half. Even a not fully fit Lamine Yamal was introduced from the bench, yet the breakthrough never came. This result has left some questions hanging over the squad, but it is still early days and one tricky opener does not mean the whole campaign is in trouble. What matters now is how they respond against Saudi Arabia, because another flat showing could turn the group upside down.
Team Form
Spain still boast a long unbeaten run, but recent matches show they have been sharing the points a lot. Four draws in their last six games tell the story, including stalemates with Turkey, Egypt, Iraq and now Cape Verde. The attack has looked blunt at times and the lack of goals in the first World Cup outing is a real worry for a team that usually lights up tournaments. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, came away with a solid point against Uruguay and will take plenty of confidence from that result.
- Spain have won all three previous meetings against Saudi Arabia
- Four draws in Spain’s last six matches before this fixture
- Saudi Arabia held Uruguay to a 1-1 draw in their opening game
Tactical Analysis
Spain will look to dominate possession and stretch the Saudi defence with quick switches and overlapping full backs, but the visitors are likely to sit deep and wait for counters. Saudi Arabia must avoid a heavy defeat to stay in with a chance of reaching the knockout stage, so expect them to pack the midfield and frustrate Spain as much as possible. The individual quality in the Spanish squad remains very high after their recent European Championship triumph and Nations League final appearance, and that should eventually tell against a side that struggles when forced to defend for long periods.
Key battles will take place in the wide areas where Spain can exploit tired legs late on, while set pieces could also prove decisive if the game stays tight. Saudi Arabia will need their goalkeeper in top form and plenty of luck with last ditch defending if they are to keep the score respectable.
Betting Proposal
Given the gulf in class and Spain’s need to bounce back, backing the nominal hosts to win by a clear margin looks the smartest play. Spain to win with a handicap of minus 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 offers good value because the reds should have too much firepower and will be desperate to put on a show in front of their supporters.
