Prediction for the match “RB Leipzig” ― “Borussia Dortmund” on 21.02.2026. Dortmund will not allow themselves to make a mistake.

Hey there, football fans! We’ve got a cracking Bundesliga clash on our hands as RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a proper test for both sides. With the season heating up, this match could be a defining moment for Dortmund’s title aspirations, while Leipzig are desperate to turn their shaky form around. As we gear up for this showdown, let’s dive into the details and see what’s at stake for both teams in this high-stakes encounter at the Red Bull Arena.

Team Form

Let’s start with Borussia Dortmund, who are navigating a seriously tough schedule at the tail end of winter. Apart from their Champions League double-header against Atalanta, they’ve got massive domestic battles against Leipzig and Bayern Munich to contend with. The results of these games could make or break their chase for the Bundesliga crown come spring. Under Nico Kovac, Dortmund are getting the job done, even if their style of play isn’t exactly setting hearts racing. They’re grinding out results, and you’ve got to give credit where it’s due. A recent 2-0 home win over Atalanta in the Champions League has given them a strong shout for the Round of 16, and they’ll be looking to carry that momentum into this fixture.

On the flip side, RB Leipzig are in a bit of a mess right now. For the first time since joining the Bundesliga, they’re out of European competition this season, which should have given them a lighter schedule to focus on domestic matters. But they’ve failed to capitalize on that advantage. Sitting outside the top four, their form has been patchy at best. In their last ten games across all competitions, they’ve managed just three wins, with a frustrating 2-2 draw at home to Wolfsburg last week being the latest disappointment. Dropping points in games like that is the kind of mistake that could haunt them, especially with their defense looking leaky—they’ve only kept two clean sheets in that same ten-game stretch. Compare that to Dortmund, who’ve won seven of their last ten and kept four clean sheets, and you can see the gap in consistency.

Tactical Analysis

When you look at how these teams play, Dortmund’s approach might not be the prettiest, but it’s effective. They’re solid at the back and clinical when it matters, often relying on structure over flair to get results. If they can nick an early goal against Leipzig, you’d back them to shut up shop and see the game out. Their ability to stay compact and frustrate opponents has been key to their recent success, and they’ll likely look to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts. Leipzig, on the other hand, have struggled to find their rhythm this winter. Their attacking play has lacked sharpness, and defensively, they’ve been all over the place. Without the intensity that once defined their game, they’ve become far too easy to play against.

Breaking it down further, here are some key stats and observations for both sides:

  • Dortmund have won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, showing strong form.
  • They’ve kept 4 clean sheets in that period, proving their defensive solidity.
  • Leipzig have managed just 3 wins in their last 10 games, a worrying sign for their fans.
  • The Bulls have conceded in 8 of those 10 matches, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Head-to-head, Dortmund have had the upper hand in recent meetings, often capitalizing on Leipzig’s mistakes.

Betting Proposal

So, what’s the play here for punters? Given the current form and stats, I’m leaning towards Dortmund to at least avoid defeat in this one. If they can score first, I don’t see them letting this slip. Leipzig’s struggles in front of goal and at the back make them vulnerable, and Dortmund’s no-nonsense approach could be the difference. For those looking to place a wager, I’d suggest considering a handicap of 0 on the away side (Draw No Bet) with odds around 2.18. It’s a solid option, as it covers you if the game ends in a draw, but I’ve got a good feeling Dortmund might just nick all three points on the road.

At the end of the day, this match is a massive opportunity for Dortmund to keep the pressure on at the top of the Bundesliga table, while Leipzig desperately need a win to get their season back on track. It’s not going to be a walk in the park for either side, but Dortmund look like the safer bet right now. Let’s see how it plays out, but one thing’s for sure—this is one game you don’t want to miss! Get your snacks ready, settle in, and let’s enjoy some proper football action.

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